Ontario Market Renewal Program: Insights

As Ontario’s electricity market undergoes its most significant transformation in decades, Power Advisory is tracking the implementation of the IESO’s Market Renewal Program (MRP) in real time. Our weekly summaries provide timely, data-driven analysis of key trends, price signals, and market impacts. Power Advisory will help stakeholders navigate the evolving landscape with clarity and confidence. Whether you're a market participant, policymaker, or energy consumer, these updates offer grounded insights to support strategic decision-making in the new market environment.

Back to publications

Archives Reports

Market Renewal Program Reports

MRP Review Week 20: Moderate Demand and OZP breaks $200/MWh Two Times

September 23, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

The IESO has released the Dispatch Deviation report for August. Although the market interventions have decreased from the high set in July, they remain elevated as compared with August 2024.

Read Full Report

MRP Review Week 19: Moderate Prices and Demand Continue and More Congestion in Niagara and West Zones

September 16, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

Day-Ahead (DA) zonal prices in the last week increased compared to the previous three weeks while Real-Time (RT) zonal prices decreased compared to the previous three weeks.

Read Full Report

MRP Review Week 18: Shoulder Season Kicks in with Moderate Prices and Demand

September 9, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

Read Full Report

MRP Market Review Week 17: Cooler temperatures and lower prices

September 3, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

Last week, similar to the previous week, posted some of the lowest prices since the launch of the renewed market. These low prices are mainly reflective of the drop in cooling load as temperatures become cooler.

Read Full Report

MRP Market Review Week 16: Prices and Demand in the Renewed Market Cool Off

August 26, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

The IESO has released the Dispatch Deviation report for July, which has set a new high for market interventions since March 2022 (no reports are published prior to this date).

Read Full Report

MRP Market Review Week 15: Ontario Demand Reaches More Than 24K MW

August 19, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

Ontario Demand reached 24,789 MW on August 11, HE 18 – marking the second highest peak demand of 2025. The highest peak demand for 2025 continues to be 73 MW higher at 24,862 MW and occurred at the end-of-June heat wave.

Read Full Report

MRP Market Review Week 14: Comparing July 2025 and 2024 prices and Congestion Makes an Appearance in the Ottawa Zone

August 12, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

Power Advisory has undertaken a review of energy prices in July 2025 compared to the same month last year to better understand if pricing outcomes in the renewed market broadly align with the legacy market.

Read Full Report

MRP Market Review Week 13: Energy Emergency Notice Issued and Heat Wave Price Spikes

August 6, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

Both the Day-Ahead (DA) and Real-Time (RT) zonal prices increased compared to the previous week. DA zonal prices ranged from $60/MWh (Northwest) to $91/MWh (Ottawa), while RT zonal prices ranged between $14/MWh (Northwest) and $89/MWh (Ottawa). In both the Northeast and Northwest zones, congestion and losses increased in RT as compared to DA.

Read Full Report

MRP Week 12 Review: Blocked Dispatches Up in June, Real-time Prices Saw a High of ~$500/MWh Last Week

July 29, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

The IESO has published the Dispatch Deviation Report for June 2025, which indicates the highest number of monthly market interventions by the IESO since March 2022.

Read Full Report

MRP Review Week 11: A Closer Look at Two-Settlement and Comparing Prices in the Renewed Versus Legacy Market

July 22, 2025
By 
Brady Yauch & Brendan Callery & Nadiha Khan

Power Advisory undertook an analysis to better understand the implications of the new two-settlement system for merchant wind facilities in Ontario.

Read Full Report